Seems not since the Tech Bubble of 2000-01 have we experienced such a rapid shift from “meaningful advance in technology” to rampant hype bordering on hysteria. Now ubiquitous, “AI” dominates the empty boilerplate phraseology of executives and pundits—however hollowly—seeking to convey techno-sophistication and endless promise. Finding the memetic expansion unprecedented and becoming ever more lacking […]
Responding to a reporter’s question regarding the Federal Reserve’s going-forward efforts to balance the risk of weaker employment against that of growing inflation, Chairman Powell stated, “We have a situation where we have two-sided risk, and that means there’s no risk-free path.” That two-sided risk scenario always exists, of course, but managing against both of […]
A year of somewhat volatile gains for bonds provided a sharp counterpoint to the volatility global stocks experienced over the past year:
By the end of trading, though, most of the about-face had been regained. The gain/news/plunge/rebound cycle exemplifies how fickle the stock market can be. Similarly, zoom out to the beginning of the year and we see that U.S. stocks have fully rebounded from a near 20% decline from a prior peak that arguably came primarily […]
In common parlance, to discount a statement means to not take the assertion at face value. In finance, to “discount” something means to develop a current value for a potential investment by estimating a future value and any cash flows in between. The market has been roiling with evolving themes and variations on both notions: […]
Different than the open-down-close-lower trading of Thursday and Friday, the first two days of this week suggest investors are beginning to dig in their heels. Their footing continues to slip, however, as the president and members of his administration maintain stances in defiance to the market’s obvious rejection of the tariff policies announced last Wednesday. […]
The U.S. stock market plunged April 4 and 5 as investors expressed grand concerns regarding the potential impacts of global tariff policy announced the Wednesday before. The response being inarguably negative, the primary points we broadly resolved from the days’ trends include: That’s the Brief Hearkening back to the COVID-19 era, severe back-to-back declines in […]
Much as we figured in last month’s commentary, market volatility has only increased as the current administration has sought to implement its domestic and geopolitical agendas. Hard to tell what’s driving the turbulence, though we’d have to think that folks are more concerned about the potential for tariff policy to upset the domestic growth cart. […]
With the new U.S. presidential administration comes a range of distinct methods of governing. Among that list is a seemingly blunt-force approach to trade management that over the past few days has resulted in more than a few market gyrations. We could discuss the specifics, but as soon as we might, they’re likely to change. […]
